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What will be the resolution of Google's Android agreements with OEMs by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Non-exclusive agreements implemented • 25%
Current agreements maintained • 25%
New exclusive agreements • 25%
No resolution by deadline • 25%
Official announcements from Google or the DOJ
Story
Google Proposes to Loosen Agreements with Apple and Others, Calls DOJ's Plan Extreme in Antitrust Case
Dec 21, 2024, 03:00 PM
Google has submitted a proposal to the U.S. Justice Department (DOJ) in response to a ruling that found the company illegally monopolized online search. The proposal includes loosening its agreements with companies like Apple to set Google as the default search engine on new devices. Google has described the DOJ's suggestion to sell its Chrome browser as 'extreme' and contrary to the law. The company argues that its proposed remedies are designed to address antitrust concerns without resorting to drastic measures. Among the changes proposed, Google plans to allow browser companies to have multiple default agreements and to make its Android agreements with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) non-exclusive. This move aims to prevent the stifling of innovation and future investment, as Google urges the federal court to consider the implications of the DOJ's demands.
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Non-exclusive agreements implemented • 25%
Exclusive agreements remain • 25%
Hybrid model implemented • 25%
No change announced • 25%
All agreements terminated • 25%
Some agreements modified • 25%
No changes • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Google wins all cases • 25%
Google loses all cases • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Cases ongoing • 25%
Google divests Android • 25%
Google retains Android with conditions • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Contracts limited • 25%
Monopoly profits limited • 25%
Both limited • 25%
No limitations • 25%
All remedies implemented • 25%
Some remedies implemented • 25%
No remedies implemented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Android divested • 25%
Android remains with restrictions • 25%
No changes to Android • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Contracts terminated • 25%
Contracts modified • 25%
Contracts unchanged • 25%
No public disclosure • 25%