Loading...
Market
What will be the reoffending rate among early-released prisoners by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Below 10% • 25%
10% to 20% • 25%
20% to 30% • 25%
Above 30% • 25%
Official reoffending statistics from the UK Ministry of Justice or credible news sources
Story
UK Government to Release 40,000 Prisoners Early After Serving 40% of Sentences
Jul 11, 2024, 04:02 PM
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer is set to authorize emergency measures to address the overcrowding crisis in British prisons. The plan includes the early release of up to 40,000 inmates who have served at least 40% of their sentences. This measure aims to alleviate the severe shortage of prison spaces, with fewer than 700 spaces left in men's jails in England and Wales. The new Justice Secretary, Shabana Mahmood, announced that serious violent offenders, sexual offenders, and those convicted of non-terrorist offences will be excluded from early release. The government has also committed to recruiting 1,000 probation officers to manage the transition. Starmer described the situation as worse than expected and blamed the previous administration for the crisis. The measures, set to begin in September, are seen as a necessary step to prevent a total breakdown of law and order, and will include a temporary change in the law.
View original story
Similar markets
Less than 25% • 25%
25% to 33% • 25%
34% to 50% • 25%
More than 50% • 25%
Decrease of more than 10% • 25%
Decrease of 5-10% • 25%
Decrease of less than 5% • 25%
No significant decrease • 25%
Increase in public support • 25%
Decrease in public support • 25%
No change in public opinion • 25%
Public becomes more divided • 25%
Granted asylum in another country • 25%
Return to Nicaragua • 25%
Remain in Guatemala • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Increased opposition • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed opinions • 25%
Strongly Support • 25%
Somewhat Support • 25%
Somewhat Oppose • 25%
Strongly Oppose • 25%
