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What will be the public response in Vietnam to Truong My Lan's case by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Widespread public protests • 25%
Moderate public dissatisfaction • 25%
General public acceptance • 25%
Other public response • 25%
Surveys and reports from Vietnamese media outlets and international news coverage
Story
Vietnam's Truong My Lan Loses Appeal; Must Repay $9 Billion to Avoid Execution
Dec 3, 2024, 06:31 AM
Vietnamese property tycoon Truong My Lan, founder of Ho Chi Minh City-based Van Thinh Phat Holdings Group, has lost her appeal against the death penalty for masterminding the country's largest-ever fraud scandal. The 68-year-old was convicted of embezzling $12 billion, including orchestrating a $1.2 billion bond fraud that devastated thousands of investors. The Supreme People's Court of Ho Chi Minh City upheld her death sentence, stating that the damages caused were "enormous and have extremely serious consequences," and found no circumstances to reduce her sentence. However, under Vietnamese law, her sentence could be commuted to life imprisonment if she repays 75% of the embezzled funds, estimated at $9 billion.
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Similar markets
Commuted to life imprisonment • 25%
Commuted to lesser sentence • 25%
Pardoned • 25%
Execution • 25%
Policy changes unrelated to this case • 25%
Significant policy changes • 25%
Minor policy adjustments • 25%
No policy changes • 25%
Life imprisonment after repayment • 25%
Sentence commuted by other means • 25%
Pardoned • 25%
Executed • 25%
Commuted to life imprisonment • 33%
Pardon granted • 34%
Execution • 33%
Released • 25%
Execution • 25%
Commuted to life imprisonment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Split opinion • 25%
Majority support death penalty • 25%
Majority oppose death penalty • 25%
Majority indifferent • 25%