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What will be the public reaction to the Coney Island subway incident by end of Q1 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Protests against immigration policy • 25%
Protests for increased subway security • 25%
No significant public demonstrations • 25%
Other forms of public reaction • 25%
Reports from major news outlets and public records
Story
Guatemalan Migrant, 33, Charged with Murder and Arson for Setting Woman on Fire on Coney Island F Train in NYC on December 22
Dec 24, 2024, 03:00 AM
Sebastian Zapeta, a 33-year-old Guatemalan migrant, has been arrested and charged with murder and arson for allegedly setting a sleeping woman on fire inside a Brooklyn subway train on December 22, 2024. Police reports indicate that Zapeta lit the woman's clothing on fire and watched as she burned to death. Authorities revealed that Zapeta entered the U.S. illegally in 2018, was previously deported, and re-entered the country at an unknown time. Eyewitnesses reportedly observed the incident, and Zapeta was apprehended shortly after. He is currently awaiting arraignment in Brooklyn criminal court, facing charges of first and second-degree murder as well as arson. The victim's identity has not yet been disclosed.
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Increased Subway Security Measures • 25%
Public Protests or Demonstrations • 25%
No Significant Public Reaction • 25%
Other Public Response • 25%
Widespread outrage • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Mostly indifferent • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved perception • 25%
Worsened perception • 25%
No change • 25%
Mixed opinions • 25%
Protests • 25%
Petitions • 25%
Legal action • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Decrease in ridership • 25%
Increase in ridership • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Fluctuating ridership • 25%
Large-scale protests • 25%
Small-scale protests • 25%
No protests • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved perception of safety • 25%
No change in perception • 25%
Worsened perception of safety • 25%
Mixed opinions • 25%
Increased Shelter Security • 25%
Revised Homelessness Policies • 25%
No Significant Changes • 25%
Other Policy Changes • 25%
New policies implemented • 25%
Increased policing • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Suspect Convicted • 25%
Suspect Acquitted • 25%
Suspect Still Awaiting Trial • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Positive • 33%
Negative • 33%
Mixed • 33%
More Positive • 25%
More Negative • 25%
No Change • 25%
Uncertain • 25%