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Market
What will be the public opinion on transgender athletes in elite sports by end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority in favor of allowing participation • 33%
Majority against allowing participation • 33%
Public opinion remains divided • 33%
Public opinion polls from reputable sources
Story
Lia Thomas, Biological Male, Barred from Competing in 2024 Paris Olympics After Legal Loss
Jun 12, 2024, 05:50 PM
Lia Thomas, the first transgender athlete to win an NCAA college title, has lost a legal case against World Aquatics at the Court of Arbitration for Sport. The ruling bars Thomas, a biological male, from competing in the 2024 Olympics in Paris and other elite women's races. World Aquatics described the decision as a major step forward in protecting women's sport. Thomas had challenged the rules, arguing they were invalid and unlawful, but the court ruled she did not have standing to bring the case.
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Majority support • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Support from majority • 33%
Opposition from majority • 33%
Mixed reactions • 34%
More supportive • 33%
Less supportive • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Majority support Austin's decision • 33%
Majority oppose Austin's decision • 33%
Public opinion is evenly split • 34%
Support increases • 33%
Support remains stable • 33%
Support decreases • 34%
Majority support • 33%
Majority oppose • 33%
Split opinion • 33%
More restrictive • 33%
Less restrictive • 33%
No change • 33%
Predominantly supportive • 33%
Predominantly opposed • 33%
Mixed or neutral reactions • 34%
No significant change • 33%
More supportive of biological sex definition • 33%
More supportive of gender identity • 33%
Upheld • 33%
Modified • 33%
Overturned • 33%
Support decreases • 33%
Support remains the same • 33%
Support increases • 34%