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What will be the primary reason for the activation of OPLAN DEU by December 31, 2024?
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Germany•Operationsplan Deutschland•NATO•Eastern Europe•Russia•Der Spiegel•Bild•German•Boris Pistorius
Resolution / Starting Odds
Direct military conflict with Russia • 25%
Escalation in Eastern Europe • 25%
Preemptive defense measure • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the German government, NATO press releases, or reputable news outlets such as Der Spiegel, Bild
Story
Germany's OPLAN DEU: Contingency Plan to Transfer 800,000 NATO Soldiers to Eastern Europe
Jul 13, 2024, 02:52 PM
Germany has developed a comprehensive contingency plan, dubbed Operationsplan Deutschland (OPLAN DEU), to transfer NATO forces to Eastern Europe in the event of a military conflict with Russia. The plan, reported by Der Spiegel and Bild, outlines the course of action for both military and civilian authorities and includes the transfer of 800,000 soldiers and over 200,000 pieces of equipment within three to six months. German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius emphasized the need for the country to be fully prepared for defense by 2029, noting that Russia's military economy is already gearing up for a potential conflict. The plan was detailed on July 12.
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Evacuation preparation • 25%
Military deterrence • 25%
Humanitarian assistance • 25%
Other • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Logistical issues • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
Strategic withdrawal • 25%
Seeking diplomatic resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Water supply contamination • 25%
Security breach • 25%
Operational disruption • 25%
Public relations issue • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
US military support to Israel • 25%
International peacekeeping mission • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased military presence without further conflict • 25%
Direct military engagement with Iran or its proxies • 25%
De-escalation and withdrawal of forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Commitment to NATO • 25%
European defense • 25%
Response to Ukraine war • 25%
Other • 25%
Military readiness • 25%
Technological advancement • 25%
Personnel policies • 25%
IndoPacific strategy • 25%
Internal Disagreements • 25%
Fear of Discovery • 25%
Lack of Resources • 25%
Other Reasons • 25%
Evacuation of staff • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
New diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Personal reasons • 25%
Political reasons • 25%
Mistaken identity • 25%
Other • 25%