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What will be the primary reason for any disruption in Sudan's oil exports by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Technical failure • 25%
Political instability • 25%
Natural disaster • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from major news outlets and Sudan's Ministry of Energy and Oil
Story
Sudan to Resume Exporting South Sudan Oil After Eight-Month Pipeline Repairs
Oct 20, 2024, 04:23 PM
War-torn Sudan announced it is ready to resume exporting oil from landlocked South Sudan. This development signals that a pipeline, which had been out of service for eight months due to damage from the ongoing civil war in Sudan, has been repaired. The resumption of oil flow, following the pipeline repairs, is expected to commence within a few days, allowing South Sudan's oil to reach global markets once again.
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China • 25%
India • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Recovered • 33%
Accounted for but not recovered • 33%
Unaccounted for • 33%
Technical Issues • 25%
Political Disputes • 25%
Financial Constraints • 25%
Other • 25%
Mismanagement within WFP • 25%
Obstruction by Sudanese army • 25%
Conflict between Sudan's army and Rapid Support Forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Peacekeeping forces • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic mediation • 25%
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Increase by less than 5% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Below 100,000 barrels per day • 25%
100,000 to 150,000 barrels per day • 25%
150,000 to 200,000 barrels per day • 25%
Above 200,000 barrels per day • 25%
