Loading...
Market
What will be the primary reason cited for Asif Merchant's conviction if found guilty by December 31, 2024?
1
Pakistani•Asif Merchant•Iran•Merchant•American•Donald Trump•Joe Biden•Nikki Haley•Revolutionary Guards•Qassem Soleimani•Chuck Grassley•Trump•Biden
Resolution / Starting Odds
Terrorism Charges • 25%
Murder-for-Hire Charges • 25%
Conspiracy Charges • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. court records and news reports
Story
46-year-old Asif Merchant Pleads Not Guilty to US Assassination Plot Charges
Sep 16, 2024, 07:40 PM
A 46-year-old Pakistani man, Asif Merchant, with alleged ties to Iran, has pleaded not guilty to charges in a U.S. court related to an assassination plot. Merchant is accused of scheming to assassinate several American politicians, including former President Donald Trump, President Joe Biden, and Nikki Haley, in retaliation for the killing of Iran's Revolutionary Guards top commander Qassem Soleimani. The charges include allegations of terrorism and murder-for-hire. According to Senator Chuck Grassley, Trump, Biden, and Nikki Haley were possible targets.
View original story
Similar markets
Guilty on all charges • 25%
Guilty on some charges • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Guilty • 50%
Not Guilty • 50%
Conspiracy to commit murder • 25%
Attempted murder • 25%
Murder-for-hire • 25%
Other or no conviction • 25%
Convicted • 33%
Acquitted • 33%
Mistrial • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Convicted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of some charges • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Mistrial or other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Plea Deal • 25%
Trial • 25%
Dismissal of Charges • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Espionage Act - Willful retention • 25%
Espionage Act - Transmission • 25%
Both charges • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
