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What will be the primary method of attack in the next foiled terrorist plot in Europe by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Suicide bombing • 25%
Vehicle attack • 25%
Shooting • 25%
Other method • 25%
News reports and official statements from European authorities
Story
Vienna Taylor Swift Concert Cancelled After Terror Plot Foiled, Three Teens Arrested
Aug 11, 2024, 07:33 PM
Authorities in Austria foiled a terrorist plot targeting a Taylor Swift concert in Vienna, leading to the cancellation of the event. The suspects, reportedly linked to ISIS, included three teens who planned a suicide bombing. In response, Austria's Chancellor has called for increased communication monitoring to prevent future threats. The incident has heightened security concerns for Swift's upcoming concerts, including those in London, where enhanced security measures are being implemented. The plot underscores the ongoing threat of terrorism at public events, prompting discussions on the need for robust counter-terrorism policies.
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Similar markets
Bombing • 25%
Shooting • 25%
Vehicle attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Explosives • 25%
Firearms • 25%
Chemical/Biological agents • 25%
Other • 25%
ISIS-K • 25%
Al-Qaeda • 25%
Boko Haram • 25%
Other • 25%
Bombing • 25%
Shooting • 25%
Stabbing • 25%
Other • 25%
Thwarted • 33%
Successful • 33%
No major plot • 34%
Russian-backed actors • 25%
Other state actors • 25%
Non-state actors • 25%
No confirmed sabotage attacks • 25%
Intelligence Gathering • 25%
On-ground Security Operations • 25%
Cyber Operations • 25%
Other • 25%
Explosive device • 25%
Shooting • 25%
Kidnapping • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
France • 25%
Germany • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Other • 25%
Rocket Attack • 25%
Suicide Bombing • 25%
Ground Infiltration • 25%
Other • 25%