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What will be the political impact in Venezuela of the Simón Bolívar Law by November 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased support for government • 25%
Increased opposition • 25%
No significant political change • 25%
Emergence of new political movements • 25%
Reports from political analysts and media coverage within Venezuela
Story
Venezuelan Assembly with Officialist Majority Approves Simón Bolívar Law Against U.S. Sanctions and Blockade
Nov 28, 2024, 06:38 PM
The Venezuelan National Assembly, with an officialist majority, has unanimously approved the Organic Law of the Liberator Simón Bolívar in its second discussion. This legislation, referred to as the Simón Bolívar Law, aims to counteract the economic sanctions and economic blockade imposed by the United States. The law is seen as a measure to defend Venezuela's sovereignty and mitigate the impact of U.S. policies. Following its approval, the legal instrument has been sent to the Constitutional Chamber of the Supreme Court of Justice (TSJ) for further review.
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Significant financial losses • 25%
Minor financial impact • 25%
No noticeable impact • 25%
Positive impact due to alternative markets • 25%
Growth above 3% • 25%
Growth between 0% and 3% • 25%
Recession between 0% and -3% • 25%
Recession below -3% • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Major protests • 25%
Government crackdown • 25%
Other • 25%
Approved without changes • 25%
Approved with amendments • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Major protests and civil unrest • 25%
International sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Impose new sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New presidential election announced • 25%
Maduro steps down • 25%
Increased crackdown on opposition • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%