Loading...
Market
What will be the percentage reduction in U.S. national debt by 2050 due to Bitcoin reserve?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 10% • 25%
10% to 20% • 25%
20% to 30% • 25%
More than 30% • 25%
Official U.S. government debt figures and reports on Bitcoin reserve impact
Story
VanEck Proposes 1 Million Bitcoin Reserve to Cut U.S. National Debt by 36% by 2050, Targeting $42 Million Price
Dec 23, 2024, 09:07 AM
VanEck's recent report suggests that the United States could potentially reduce its national debt by up to 36% by 2050 through the adoption of a strategic Bitcoin reserve. The report projects that if Bitcoin appreciates at a compounded annual growth rate of 25%, its price could reach $42 million by 2049, while the U.S. national debt is expected to grow from $37 trillion at the start of 2025 to $119.3 trillion by 2049. VanEck's analysis indicates that acquiring 1 million Bitcoins over the next five years could offset $42 trillion in debt, aligning with Senator Lummis’s proposed Bitcoin bill. The proposal also suggests that such a reserve could generate between $16 trillion and $81 trillion in wealth for the U.S. Treasury, aiding in debt reduction. Additionally, the report notes a potential 35% debt reduction over 24 years.
View original story
Similar markets
No significant impact • 25%
Reduction by less than 10% • 25%
Reduction by 10% to 20% • 25%
Reduction by more than 20% • 25%
Less than $100 billion • 25%
$100 billion to $500 billion • 25%
$500 billion to $1 trillion • 25%
More than $1 trillion • 25%
Debt decreases significantly • 25%
Debt decreases slightly • 25%
Debt remains unchanged • 25%
Debt increases • 25%
Significant policy change • 25%
Minor policy adjustments • 25%
No impact • 25%
Other • 25%
0-10% • 25%
11-20% • 25%
21-30% • 25%
31% or more • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
0% • 25%
1-25% • 25%
26-50% • 25%
51% or more • 25%
Less than 1% of supply • 25%
1% to 3% of supply • 25%
3% to 5% of supply • 25%
More than 5% of supply • 25%
Less than 1% • 25%
1% to 2.5% • 25%
2.5% to 5% • 25%
More than 5% • 25%
Increase in U.S. GDP • 25%
Decrease in U.S. GDP • 25%
Increase in inflation • 25%
Decrease in inflation • 25%
4 million or more • 25%
2 million to 4 million • 25%
Less than 2 million • 25%
No Bitcoin held • 25%
Less than 1% • 25%
1-2% • 25%
2-3% • 25%
More than 3% • 25%