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What will be the party control of the U.S. Senate after the 2024 elections?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Republican majority • 25%
Democratic majority • 25%
Split 50-50 • 25%
Other • 25%
Official results published by the Federal Election Commission or major news networks
Story
Trump Leads National Popular Vote by 1.1%, First Time Winning in 2024 Election
Nov 6, 2024, 05:15 AM
As of November 6, 2024, preliminary estimates indicate that former President Donald Trump is leading in the national popular vote by 1.1 percentage points. This marks a potential historic moment as it would be the first time Trump secures a majority in the popular vote during a presidential election. Various commentators have noted the significance of this development, suggesting it underscores a shift in voter sentiment. The implications of this lead could be substantial for the political landscape in the United States, particularly if it translates into electoral success.
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Republicans • 33%
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Democrat • 33%
Split/Coalition • 34%
Democrats • 33%
Republicans • 33%
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Other • 34%
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Democrats • 25%
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No control (Hung Senate) • 25%
Democrats • 33%
Republicans • 33%
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Republican • 33%
Democrat • 33%
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Democrat • 25%
Independent • 25%
No clear majority • 25%