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What will be the outcome of US-Saudi security agreement talks by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Full agreement signed • 25%
Partial agreement signed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
Official announcements from the US or Saudi Arabian governments, or credible news sources such as The Guardian or The Washington Post
Story
US and Saudi Arabia Discuss Security Agreement Short of Defense Treaty
Nov 4, 2024, 07:33 PM
The United States and Saudi Arabia are in discussions about a potential security agreement that would not involve a broader deal with Israel, according to Axios. The talks, which took place last week, included a visit by Saudi Arabia’s national security adviser to the White House. The proposed agreement is described as stopping short of a full defense treaty.
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Comprehensive Defense Treaty • 25%
Modest Military Cooperation Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Relations improve significantly • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Limited intelligence sharing • 25%
Joint military exercises • 25%
Arms sales agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Successful negotiations • 25%
Stalemate in negotiations • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
No diplomatic engagement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Normalization Agreement Signed • 25%
Hostage Deal Only • 25%
Gaza Reconstruction Agreement Only • 25%
No Significant Outcome • 25%
Airspace defense • 25%
Oil facility protection • 25%
Cybersecurity • 25%
Other focus • 25%