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Market
What will be the outcome of Ukraine's use of long-range missiles in Russia by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military escalation • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official announcements from involved governments
Story
Zelensky Responds to Biden's Decision on U.S. Long-Range Missiles
Nov 17, 2024, 09:10 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has responded to reports that the U.S. has authorized Ukraine to conduct long-range strikes within Russia. In his evening address, Zelensky emphasized that such actions are not announced publicly and that 'missiles will speak for themselves.' This response comes amid increasing media speculation about Ukraine's military capabilities following President Biden's decision to lift the ban on Ukraine using U.S. missiles for deeper strikes into Russian territory.
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Increased Western support for Ukraine • 25%
De-escalation and negotiations • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased Conflict • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Sanctions against Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Significant military success • 25%
Limited impact • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire negotiations • 25%
Increased military success for Ukraine • 25%
Increased military tension with Russia • 25%
No significant change in conflict dynamics • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Significant military success • 25%
Limited impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Significant military success for Ukraine • 25%
Limited military impact • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Significant damage to Russian military infrastructure • 25%
Limited damage • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Unknown or other • 25%
Significant military success • 25%
Limited military success • 25%
No military impact • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Significant Russian casualties • 25%
Destruction of military infrastructure • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Significant strategic gains • 25%
Limited tactical success • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Increased NATO support • 25%
Direct Russian retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%