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What will be the outcome of Ukraine's request for Western approval to use Storm Shadow missiles on Russian targets by end of 2024?
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Der Spiegel•Ukraine•Russia•Western•Russian•Ukrainian Armed Forces•United States•NATO•Storm Shadow missiles•SCALP
Resolution / Starting Odds
Approved by US • 25%
Approved by NATO • 25%
Approved by both US and NATO • 25%
Not approved • 25%
Official statements from NATO, US, or other Western governments
Story
Ukraine Awaits Western Approval to Strike 261 Russian Targets with Storm Shadow Missiles
Oct 3, 2024, 09:53 AM
Der Spiegel reports that Ukraine has prepared a list of 261 military facilities within Russia that it intends to strike if Western allies authorize the use of long-range missiles on Russian territory. The targets include large arms depots and Russian military bases, aiming to significantly disrupt Russian military logistics. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are awaiting approval from the United States and NATO to deploy long-range weapon systems, such as the Storm Shadow missiles, also known as SCALP, which are launched from fighter jets, against these targets. However, Ukraine is not likely to receive authorization to use its long-range weapon systems against targets within Russia anytime soon.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Approved by US • 25%
Denied by US • 25%
Approved by UK only • 25%
Denied by both US and UK • 25%
Approved by Germany • 25%
Denied by Germany • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other countries approve • 25%
Restrictions fully lifted • 25%
Restrictions partially lifted • 25%
Restrictions remain unchanged • 25%
New restrictions imposed • 25%
Approve • 25%
Deny • 25%
Postpone decision • 25%
No decision by end of 2024 • 25%
Significant damage to Russian military infrastructure • 25%
Limited damage • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Unknown or other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposed • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Approve • 33%
Deny • 33%
No decision made • 34%
Significant damage to Russian military targets • 25%
Minimal damage to Russian military targets • 25%
No significant use of Storm Shadow missiles • 25%
Other • 25%
Request approved • 25%
Request denied • 25%
Request modified • 25%
No decision • 25%