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What will be the outcome of Trump's nationwide voter ID proposal by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Passed into law • 25%
Rejected by Congress • 25%
Stalled in Congress • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the federal government and legislative records
Story
Trump Announces Nationwide Voter ID and Proof of Citizenship Plans, Targets California
Nov 9, 2024, 10:14 PM
Former President Donald Trump has announced plans to require voter ID and proof of citizenship for voting in federal elections nationwide. This initiative is aimed at enhancing election integrity and is supported by a significant majority of the American public, including two-thirds of Democrats. Trump specifically warned California Governor Gavin Newsom that these requirements would be enforced ahead of the 2026 gubernatorial election in California. Trump also expressed intentions to overturn California's voter ID ban, which has been challenged by Newsom. The proposal has garnered support from various quarters, with some legislators already co-sponsoring related legislation. Notably, 83% of Americans reportedly favor these voting safeguards. Trump also emphasized the need for paper ballots, declaring, 'America is back!'
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Requirements upheld • 25%
Requirements struck down • 25%
Partial implementation allowed • 25%
Ongoing legal battles • 25%
Stricter voter ID laws passed in multiple states • 25%
Current voter ID laws remain unchanged in multiple states • 25%
Less strict voter ID laws passed in multiple states • 25%
Mixed outcomes across states • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Case accepted • 25%
Case rejected • 25%
No cases presented • 25%
Other • 25%
All states comply • 25%
Some states comply • 25%
No states comply • 25%
Legal challenges delay compliance • 25%
0-10 states • 25%
11-20 states • 25%
21-30 states • 25%
31+ states • 25%
Stricter voter ID laws passed • 25%
Current voter ID laws remain unchanged • 25%
Less strict voter ID laws passed • 25%
No significant legislation passed • 25%
Legislation passed • 25%
Legislation failed • 25%
Legislation pending • 25%
No legislation introduced • 25%
Both parties support • 25%
Republicans support, Democrats oppose • 25%
Democrats support, Republicans oppose • 25%
Both parties oppose • 25%
Support increases to over 90% • 25%
Support remains between 80%-90% • 25%
Support drops to 70%-80% • 25%
Support drops below 70% • 25%