Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's appeal of his felony conviction in 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Conviction overturned • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
New trial ordered • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Court records and official announcements regarding the appeal outcome
Story
Trump Sentenced to Unconditional Discharge for 34 Felony Counts, Becomes First President with Felony Conviction
Jan 13, 2025, 03:31 PM
President-elect Donald Trump was sentenced to an unconditional discharge by New York Judge Juan Merchan in a case involving 34 felony counts of falsifying business records related to hush money payments made during his 2016 presidential campaign. This sentence, handed down on January 10, 2025, means Trump will not face any jail time, fines, or probation, despite the conviction. The sentencing marks Trump as the first president to enter the White House with a felony conviction on his record. Trump, who appeared remotely, criticized the sentence as a 'political witch hunt' aimed at damaging his reputation. The unconditional discharge allows Trump to appeal the conviction without immediate penalties, and it was described by Judge Merchan as the 'only lawful sentence' that does not encroach upon the office of the president.
View original story
Similar markets
Convictions upheld • 25%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
Convictions overturned • 25%
Partial overturn • 25%
Convictions overturned • 25%
Appeal withdrawn • 25%
Convictions upheld • 25%
Partial overturn • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Conviction reduced • 25%
Appeal not resolved by end of 2025 • 25%
Dismissed • 25%
No jail time assurance • 25%
Upheld without changes • 25%
Suspended until 2029 • 25%
Partial dismissal • 25%
Conviction dismissed • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New trial ordered • 25%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Sentence Served • 25%
Other • 25%
Pardon • 25%
Appeal Overturned • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
New trial ordered • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Appeal withdrawn • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Case settled out of court • 25%
Judgment reduced • 25%
Judgment overturned • 25%
Judgment upheld • 25%
Judgment reduced • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Judgment upheld • 25%
Judgment overturned • 25%