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Market
What will be the outcome of the VP debate gaffe on Tim Walz's campaign by November 30, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant negative impact • 25%
Minor negative impact • 25%
Neutral impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Polling data, major news outlets, campaign statements
Story
Tim Walz Makes Gaffe in VP Debate with JD Vance: 'Friends with School Shooters'
Oct 2, 2024, 02:10 AM
During a heated vice presidential debate with JD Vance on Tuesday, Tim Walz made a significant gaffe by stating, 'I've become friends with school shooters.' The comment was made while discussing his position on an assault rifle ban. Walz's statement, which appeared to be a misstatement, has drawn widespread criticism and confusion. He was referencing his interactions with the parents of Sandy Hook victims, but his choice of words has led to a backlash and calls for clarification.
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Similar markets
No further action taken • 25%
Public apology or statement issued • 25%
Correction or retraction on campaign website • 25%
Tim Walz replaced as running mate • 25%
Withdraws before election • 25%
Remains on ticket and loses • 25%
Remains on ticket and wins • 25%
Replaced as candidate • 25%
Issues a formal apology • 25%
Drops out of the race • 25%
Faces no significant consequences • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant drop in polling • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in polling • 25%
Other • 25%
Abortion laws • 25%
Tiananmen Square references • 25%
Media criticism of Walz • 25%
Other • 25%
Walz issues an apology • 25%
Walz steps down • 25%
Democratic Party addresses but Walz remains • 25%
No official action taken • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Public Apology • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Official Investigation • 25%
Walz is cleared of any wrongdoing • 25%
Walz admits to exaggerating his record • 25%
Controversy remains unresolved • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
End of Political Career • 25%
Significant Damage • 25%
Minor Damage • 25%
No Impact • 25%
