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What will be the outcome of the Venezuelan presidential election dispute by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Nicolás Maduro confirmed as winner • 25%
Edmundo Gonzalez confirmed as winner • 25%
New election announced • 25%
No resolution by end of 2024 • 25%
Maduro confirmed as winner • 25%
Gonzalez confirmed as winner • 25%
New election called • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Official announcements from the Venezuelan electoral council, government, or international bodies
Story
Venezuelan Official: No Evidence of Maduro's Victory in Disputed Election, Gonzalez Claims 70%
Aug 26, 2024, 12:35 PM
A top Venezuelan election official has stated that there is no evidence to support Nicolás Maduro's claim of victory in the country's recent presidential election. The election, held last month, has been widely disputed, with allegations of a 'grave lack of transparency and veracity' in the results. Maduro's main opponent, Edmundo Gonzalez, and his supporters assert that they won the election with 70% of the vote and claim to have receipts to prove it. The European Union and democracies worldwide have called for Maduro to provide necessary public evidence of his reelection.
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Maduro's victory confirmed • 25%
Re-election held • 25%
Opposition declared winner • 25%
No resolution reached • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Gonzalez declared winner • 25%
Re-election called • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Government remains in power • 25%
Opposition takes power • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Other • 25%
Nicolas Maduro confirmed as President • 25%
Opposition candidate confirmed as President • 25%
New election announced • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Gonzalez confirmed as winner • 25%
Machado confirmed as winner • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Major protests with significant violence • 25%
Major protests without significant violence • 25%
Minor protests • 25%
No significant protests • 25%
Election results overturned • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
No change in election results • 25%
Opposition efforts fail • 25%
Overturned by Venezuelan Supreme Court • 25%
Annulled by Venezuelan electoral authorities • 25%
Overturned by international pressure • 25%
Not overturned or annulled • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains in power • 25%
Nicolás Maduro resigns • 25%
New election announced • 25%
Interim government established • 25%
All Challenges Dismissed • 25%
Partial Success • 25%
Major Success • 25%
No Further Challenges Filed • 25%
Election results upheld • 25%
Election results annulled • 25%
New election called • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Maduro presents evidence • 25%
Maduro steps down • 25%
New election announced • 25%
No significant action • 25%