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What will be the outcome of the Romanian investigation into the Russian drone incursion by November 30, 2024?
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Constanța•Tulcea•Ukrainian•Ukrainian Air Forces•Russian•Shahed•Romanian•Odesa•Romanian Ministry of Defense•National Military Command Center•General Staff•Romania
Resolution / Starting Odds
Accidental incursion • 25%
Intentional incursion • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Official report from the Romanian Ministry of Defense or government
Story
Romania Issues 03:00 Alert After Russian Shahed Drones Enter Airspace
Sep 8, 2024, 07:21 AM
Romanian authorities issued a RO-Alert message early Sunday morning at 03:00 in Constanța and Tulcea, warning residents about the possibility of objects falling from the airspace. This alert followed reports from Ukrainian monitors and the Ukrainian Air Forces about Russian drones, specifically Shahed models, entering Romanian airspace during an attack on Odesa. The Romanian Ministry of Defense confirmed the incursion and stated that the National Military Command Center had notified the General Staff. Despite the violation, Romania has not officially reacted, although residents in border regions were warned of the potential danger. The incident occurred on September 8, and the drone likely crashed on Romanian territory.
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No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Investigation still ongoing • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
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Ongoing investigation • 25%
Other • 25%
Drone was on a reconnaissance mission • 25%
Drone was armed and posed a threat • 25%
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Other • 25%
Increase military presence • 25%
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No significant response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Accidental crash • 25%
Deliberate incursion • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Other • 25%
Accidental entry from Belarus • 25%
Deliberate entry from Belarus • 25%
Accidental entry from another country • 25%
Deliberate entry from another country • 25%
Accidental straying • 25%
Intentional incursion • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Other • 25%
Accidental crash • 25%
Intentional incursion • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
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Belarusian fault • 25%
Russian fault • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
No conclusion reached • 25%