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What will be the outcome of the protests in Venezuela on July 3, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Peaceful with no arrests • 25%
Peaceful with arrests • 25%
Violent with no significant injuries • 25%
Violent with significant injuries or deaths • 25%
News reports from reputable sources such as AFP, Reuters, or BBC
Story
Venezuelan Opposition Leader Calls for Mass Protests on July 3 in Caracas Against Maduro
Aug 3, 2024, 04:58 PM
Venezuela's opposition leader, María Corina Machado, has called for mass protests across the nation on July 3 to denounce the disputed reelection of President Nicolas Maduro. Machado, who had been in hiding for several days, emerged on Saturday to lead a significant rally in Caracas. Tens of thousands of opposition protesters gathered in the capital, where Machado addressed the crowd, calling for Maduro to step down amid claims of election rigging. The protests are set to occur in every city in Venezuela, with Machado urging citizens to participate. Maduro's supporters have also been mobilized for competing rallies. AFP reported on Machado's emergence and participation in the rally.
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Massive turnout with no violence • 25%
Massive turnout with violence • 25%
Low turnout with no violence • 25%
Low turnout with violence • 25%
Protests are peaceful and widely attended • 25%
Protests are met with violence from the government • 25%
Protests have low turnout • 25%
Protests result in significant international intervention • 25%
Protests subside without major incidents • 25%
Government crackdown on protests • 25%
Protests lead to significant political change • 25%
Other • 25%
Major protests with significant violence • 25%
Major protests without significant violence • 25%
Minor protests • 25%
No significant protests • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Maduro steps down • 25%
New elections are called • 25%
Other • 25%
Protests dissipate without significant impact • 25%
Protests lead to minor government concessions • 25%
Protests lead to major government concessions • 25%
Protests lead to a change in government • 25%
Protests lead to new elections • 25%
Protests lead to government crackdown • 25%
Protests lead to Maduro stepping down • 25%
Protests subside without significant change • 25%
Government crackdown • 25%
Significant policy changes • 25%
Change in leadership • 25%
Other • 25%
Government crackdown • 25%
Peaceful resolution • 25%
Escalation to widespread violence • 25%
No significant protests • 25%
Maduro steps down • 25%
State of emergency declared • 25%
Protests subside without major change • 25%
Other • 25%
Protests continue • 25%
Protests end with Maduro in power • 25%
Protests end with opposition in power • 25%
Protests end with a power-sharing agreement • 25%
Maduro steps down • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Protests end without change • 25%
Other • 25%