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What will be the outcome of the political crisis talks in Kenya by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful resolution • 25%
Stalled talks • 25%
Protests escalate • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Kenyan government or reputable news agencies
Story
Renewed Anti-Government Protests Erupt in Kenya, One Killed as Police Use Tear Gas
Jul 16, 2024, 11:39 AM
Kenya is experiencing renewed anti-government protests as talks proposed by President William Ruto to resolve the political crisis have stalled. Demonstrations have erupted in various regions, including Nairobi, Nyamira, and Kitengela, where protesters have barricaded roads and engaged in running battles with police. In Kitengela, one person was killed and another seriously injured amid the unrest. Police have used tear gas to disperse crowds, and there have been reports of live rounds being fired. Notable locations of unrest include Namanga Highway and Kimathi Street in Nairobi. The situation remains tense as the government faces mounting pressure from demonstrators demanding President Ruto's resignation.
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Cease involvement • 25%
Issue public statements • 25%
Increase involvement • 25%
No official action • 25%
William Ruto remains in office • 33%
William Ruto steps down • 33%
Government reshuffle without Ruto stepping down • 33%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased foreign aid • 25%
New finance bill proposed • 25%
Major cabinet reshuffle • 25%
Early general elections called • 25%
No significant political event • 25%
William Ruto • 25%
Deputy President • 25%
Opposition Leader • 25%
Other • 25%
Government crackdown escalates • 25%
Protests continue • 25%
Protests end with government concessions • 25%
Protests end with no concessions • 25%
Curfew imposed • 25%
Protests disperse peacefully • 25%
Violent clashes continue • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peaceful • 25%
Minor clashes • 25%
Major clashes • 25%
Cancelled • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Protests end without significant policy changes • 25%
IMF changes loan policies towards Kenya • 25%
Kenyan government makes significant economic policy changes • 25%
President Ruto resigns • 25%
