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What will be the outcome of the phishing attack on the Biden-Harris campaign by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No data compromised • 25%
Minor data compromised • 25%
Significant data compromised • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Official campaign announcement or credible news source
Story
FBI Investigates Trump Campaign Hack Allegedly by Iran; Biden-Harris Also Targeted
Aug 12, 2024, 08:30 PM
The Trump 2024 campaign has reported a significant security breach, alleging that Iranian hackers accessed its internal communications. Microsoft informed the campaign that the breach involved a phishing attack targeting a high-ranking official. The hackers reportedly obtained sensitive documents, including a 271-page dossier on JD Vance and files related to Marco Rubio. The FBI has confirmed it is investigating the alleged hack, which has raised concerns about foreign interference in the upcoming U.S. presidential election. The campaign has not provided specific evidence linking Iran to the hack, but the incident has prompted warnings about potential election disruptions. Additionally, the personal email account of Roger Stone and three staffers on the Biden-Harris campaign were also targeted, though the attempts on the Biden-Harris campaign were reportedly unsuccessful.
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Foreign actor identified and charged • 25%
Foreign actor identified but not charged • 25%
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Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No significant breach found • 25%
Significant breach of Trump campaign only • 25%
Significant breach of Biden-Harris campaign only • 25%
Significant breach of both campaigns • 25%
Phishing • 25%
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DDoS • 25%
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Donald Trump • 25%
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Kamala Harris • 25%
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Iran Confirmed • 25%
Russia Confirmed • 25%
Other Entity Confirmed • 25%
No Foreign Entity Confirmed • 25%
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No • 50%
No impact • 25%
Minor impact • 25%
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Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Iran confirmed as responsible • 25%
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No foreign involvement confirmed • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%