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What will be the outcome of the official investigation into Nord Stream bombing by June 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
US involvement confirmed • 25%
Ukraine involvement confirmed • 25%
Other entity involvement confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Official investigation report from international bodies or involved countries
Story
US Warships With Transponders Off Near Nord Stream Before Bombing, Danish Media Reports
Oct 9, 2024, 07:18 AM
New evidence reported by Danish media has emerged regarding the bombing of the Nord Stream pipeline. Reports indicate that US Navy warships were present at the bombing site days before the attack, operating in radio silence with their transponders turned off. Danish sailors from Christiansø noticed the US vessels and launched a help party; however, they were ordered to leave, and the harbor master was instructed not to disclose the incident. The story has reportedly been buried for two years. The United States has maintained that only Ukraine was involved in the attack.
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Russia found responsible • 25%
Ukraine found responsible • 25%
Third-party found responsible • 25%
No conclusive result • 25%
Ukraine responsible • 25%
Russia responsible • 25%
Other entity responsible • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Ukrainian group responsible • 25%
Russian group responsible • 25%
Other group responsible • 25%
No conclusive finding • 25%
Volodymyr Z. arrested • 25%
Other suspects arrested • 25%
No arrests made • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Russia found responsible • 25%
Ukraine found responsible • 25%
US found responsible • 25%
Other party found responsible • 25%
Russia responsible • 25%
Ukraine responsible • 25%
Other state actor responsible • 25%
Non-state actors responsible • 25%
Vladimir Z. arrested • 25%
Other suspects arrested • 25%
No arrests made • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ukraine confirmed responsible • 25%
Russia confirmed responsible • 25%
Another entity confirmed responsible • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Ukraine found solely responsible • 25%
Ukraine and other entities found responsible • 25%
Other entities found solely responsible • 25%
No conclusive outcome • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Evidence implicates Russia • 25%
Evidence implicates Ukraine • 25%
Evidence implicates another entity • 25%
Ukraine confirmed responsible • 25%
Russia confirmed responsible • 25%
Another country confirmed responsible • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%