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What will be the outcome of the next major legal challenge to the Brazilian Supreme Court's decision on social media fines by Jun 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Fines reinstated • 25%
Fines permanently removed • 25%
New type of regulation introduced • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Brazilian Supreme Court
Story
Brazil Supreme Court Reverses $8,900/Day VPN Fine for Accessing X
Sep 2, 2024, 07:46 PM
The Brazilian Supreme Court initially upheld a decision by Justice Alexandre de Moraes to ban the social media platform X in Brazil and impose a daily fine of $10,000 on individuals using VPNs to access it. The decision was supported by three out of five judges on a special panel. However, the Supreme Court later reversed its stance, announcing that it will no longer enforce the $8,900/day fine on Brazilians who use VPNs to access X. The fines remain in place for those using VPNs to spread hate speech.
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Reinstated fines for all VPN use • 25%
Reinstated fines only for hate speech/misinformation • 25%
No fines reinstated • 25%
Other • 25%
Introduce New Regulations • 25%
Impose Fines • 25%
Ban Specific Platforms • 25%
No Major Action • 25%
Musk wins • 25%
Brazil wins • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ongoing dispute • 25%
Uphold the ruling • 33%
Overturn the ruling • 33%
Postpone the decision • 34%
Lawsuits filed • 25%
Settlements reached • 25%
No further action • 25%
Other • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Platform bans • 25%
No actions taken • 25%
Other • 25%
X complies fully • 25%
X partially complies • 25%
X does not comply • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
