Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the next general election in Japan under Ishiba's leadership by November 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ishiba's party gains majority • 25%
Ishiba's party remains minority • 25%
Opposition gains majority • 25%
Hung parliament • 25%
Official election results and reports from credible news organizations
Story
Shigeru Ishiba Re-elected as Japan's Prime Minister After Runoff, Will Lead Minority Government
Nov 11, 2024, 07:39 AM
Shigeru Ishiba has been re-elected as Japan's 103rd Prime Minister following a parliamentary vote on Monday. Despite his scandal-tarnished coalition losing its majority in a snap general election last month, Ishiba secured 221 out of 465 votes in the lower house, leading to his appointment to lead a fragile minority government. After an inconclusive initial vote, he defeated opposition leader Yoshihiko Noda in a rare runoff among lawmakers. Ishiba, who had resigned along with his cabinet ahead of the vote as per tradition, is set to announce his new cabinet lineup shortly.
View original story
Similar markets
LDP maintains majority • 25%
LDP loses majority • 25%
Coalition government • 25%
Other • 25%
Form a coalition with Komeito • 25%
Form a coalition with Nippon Ishin • 25%
Form a coalition with CDP • 25%
No coalition • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Remains Prime Minister • 25%
Resigns from politics • 25%
Takes another political role • 25%
Other • 25%