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What will be the outcome of the next China-Vatican meeting on bishop appointments by October 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement reaffirmed • 25%
Agreement modified • 25%
Agreement terminated • 25%
No outcome announced • 25%
Official announcements following a meeting between Chinese and Vatican officials
Story
China and Vatican Extend Agreement on Bishop Appointments for Four More Years on October 22
Oct 22, 2024, 09:02 AM
China and the Vatican have agreed to extend their provisional agreement on the appointment of bishops for an additional four years. The agreement, originally signed in 2018, has been renewed twice before, in 2020 and 2022. The Chinese Foreign Ministry announced the extension on Tuesday, October 22, with spokesman Lin Jian confirming the decision. The Vatican also confirmed the extension, emphasizing its commitment to respectful and constructive dialogue with China to further develop bilateral relations.
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Improved bilateral relations • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Agreement termination • 25%
Further extension • 25%
Renegotiation • 25%
Termination • 25%
No action • 25%
Extension of the agreement • 25%
Revisions to the agreement • 25%
Defense of the agreement • 25%
Criticism of the agreement • 25%
Public condemnation • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Sanctions or similar actions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
0 • 25%
1-3 • 25%
4-6 • 25%
7-10 • 25%
Religious freedom • 25%
Political influence • 25%
Human rights concerns • 25%
Lack of transparency • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
The Vatican • 25%
China • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%