Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the Israeli ground operation in Southern Lebanon?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful with minimal resistance • 25%
Successful with significant resistance • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Operation called off • 25%
Reports from Maariv, The Jerusalem Post, and other reputable news sources
Story
Israeli Security Cabinet Approves Limited Ground Operation in Southern Lebanon: Maariv
Sep 30, 2024, 08:14 PM
The Israeli Security Cabinet has officially approved a limited ground operation in Southern Lebanon. The decision was made during a meeting held in Tel Aviv, which started at 7:30 pm on September 30, 2024. According to various sources, including Maariv's Anna Barsky and The Jerusalem Post, the operation is expected to begin immediately following this approval. Reports indicate that the ground operation will be geographically limited and may last for a few days, not weeks. The source Bintjbeil also confirmed the cabinet's decision.
View original story
Similar markets
Successful with minimal civilian casualties • 25%
Successful with significant civilian casualties • 25%
Unsuccessful with minimal civilian casualties • 25%
Unsuccessful with significant civilian casualties • 25%
Israel achieves its objective without broader conflict • 25%
Hezbollah retaliates significantly • 25%
Broader conflict ensues • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Successful dismantling of Hezbollah assets • 25%
Significant Hezbollah retaliation • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
International diplomatic intervention • 25%
Successful with minimal casualties • 25%
Successful with significant casualties • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Failure • 25%
Successful operation with minimal casualties • 25%
Successful operation with significant casualties • 25%
Operation fails • 25%
Operation does not occur • 25%
Israeli victory • 25%
Hezbollah victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Successful with minimal resistance • 25%
Successful with significant resistance • 25%
Unsuccessful and withdrawn • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Continued presence • 25%
Escalated conflict • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Full occupation up to the Litani River • 25%
Partial occupation with ongoing conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Israel withdraws without a cease-fire • 25%
Israel withdraws with a cease-fire • 25%
Israel continues the offensive • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah infrastructure significantly damaged • 25%
Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah eliminated • 25%
Minimal impact on Hezbollah • 25%
Operation aborted • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Continued occupation • 25%
Other • 25%