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What will be the outcome of the investigation into the Solingen attack by December 31, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Confirmed links to Islamic extremism • 25%
No links to Islamic extremism • 25%
Unclear or inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from German law enforcement agencies or verified news sources
Story
Scholz Vows Tougher Asylum, Weapons Rules After Solingen Attack Kills Three
Aug 26, 2024, 10:25 AM
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has vowed to implement tougher asylum rules and tighten weapons regulations following a deadly knife attack in Solingen, where three people were killed. The attack, allegedly carried out by a Syrian man with suspected links to Islamic extremism, has prompted Scholz to pledge an acceleration in the deportation of rejected asylum seekers and a crackdown on illegal immigration. During his visit to Solingen, Scholz described the incident as 'terrorism against us all.' The German government is also considering measures to strengthen knife laws in response to the attack.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Security protocol failure • 25%
Ignored warnings • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
0 • 25%
1-2 • 25%
3-4 • 25%
5 or more • 25%
Personal dispute • 25%
Political or ideological • 25%
Mental illness • 25%
Other • 25%
Individual with Criminal History • 25%
Individual with No Prior Record • 25%
Group Affiliation • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Russian involvement confirmed • 25%
Domestic actor involvement confirmed • 25%
No actor identified • 25%
Other • 25%
No additional arrests • 25%
One additional arrest • 25%
Two additional arrests • 25%
Three or more additional arrests • 25%
Suspect apprehended • 25%
Suspect identified but not apprehended • 25%
Suspect remains unidentified • 25%
Suspect found deceased • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Suspect found guilty • 25%
Suspect found not guilty • 25%
Suspect deceased • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%