Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the investigation into the Russian drone breach by June 30, 2025?
2
Romania•Russian•Ukrainian•Romanian•Borcea Air Base•Plauru•Tulcea County•Romanian Ministry of Defense•Ministry of Foreign Affairs•Ukraine•Iranian Shahed 136•NATO
Resolution / Starting Odds
Accidental breach • 25%
Intentional breach • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Romanian Ministry of Defense or official government reports
Story
Romania Scrambles F-16 Jets After Russian Gheran 2 Drone Breaches Airspace Near Plauru, Tulcea County
Jan 17, 2025, 09:17 AM
Romania's airspace was breached by Russian drones targeting Ukrainian civilian infrastructure near the border, leading to the deployment of Romanian F-16 fighter jets. The incident occurred overnight, with the drones detected entering Romanian airspace around 1:35 AM. Two F-16 jets were scrambled from the Borcea Air Base to monitor the situation, returning to base by 3:48 AM. A possible drone impact site was identified near the village of Plauru in Tulcea County, close to the Ukrainian border. The Romanian Ministry of Defense and other authorities have secured the area and are conducting an investigation. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs condemned the violation of Romanian airspace and the attacks on Ukraine as breaches of international law, emphasizing the threat to regional security. The Ro-Alert system was activated at 1:39 AM to alert residents, with the alert ending at 3:30 AM. The drone identified was a Gheran 2, a Russian model copied from the Iranian Shahed 136. NATO was informed about the incident.
View original story
Similar markets
Identified as commercial drones • 25%
Identified as hobbyist drones • 25%
Identified as foreign drones • 25%
Unidentified by deadline • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Attributed to non-state actors • 25%
Confirmed Ukrainian responsibility • 25%
Other findings • 25%
Other • 25%
Technological Malfunction • 25%
No Threat Identified • 25%
National Security Threat • 25%
Amogy Inc. receives warning • 25%
Amogy Inc. fined • 25%
No further action taken • 25%
New regulations implemented • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Drones deemed harmless • 25%
Drones pose a security threat • 25%
Unidentified • 25%
Identified as a security threat • 25%
Identified as harmless hobbyist activity • 25%
Identified but non-threatening • 25%
No significant threat • 25%
Security threat identified • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Remains unidentified • 25%
Identified as foreign entity • 25%
Identified as private individuals • 25%
Identified as domestic entity • 25%
Unknown origin • 25%
Deemed as non-threatening • 25%
Identified as foreign origin • 25%
Identified as domestic origin • 25%
Security Threat Identified • 25%
Investigation Inconclusive • 25%
Other Conclusion • 25%
No Threat Detected • 25%
Domestic source identified • 25%
Foreign source identified • 25%
Source remains unidentified • 25%
Other resolution • 25%