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What will be the outcome of the investigation into the Eagle S tanker's activities by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Confirmed espionage • 25%
Accidental cable damage • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Other • 25%
Official reports from Finnish authorities or international investigative bodies
Story
Finland Seizes Russia-Linked Tanker Eagle S for Damaging Undersea Cable, Finds Spy Equipment Used to Monitor NATO
Dec 27, 2024, 06:11 PM
The Russia-linked tanker Eagle S, seized by Finland on December 25 for damaging the Estlink-2 undersea cable, was found to be equipped with sophisticated Russian signals intelligence equipment. According to Lloyd's List, the tanker was used to monitor NATO naval ships and aircraft, effectively turning it into a 'spy ship' for Russia. The equipment on board, which was not typical for a merchant ship, consumed more power from the ship's generator, leading to repeated blackouts. The tanker, part of Russia's 'shadow fleet', was also involved in transporting sanctioned Russian oil. Finnish forces discovered the hi-tech equipment after the tanker was detained following the incident with the undersea cable.
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Similar markets
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Eagle S found responsible • 25%
Eagle S not found responsible • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Confirmed sabotage • 25%
Accidental damage • 25%
No conclusive evidence • 25%
Guilty of sanctions violations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Guilty of sabotage • 25%
Cleared of all charges • 25%
No conclusive evidence • 25%
Intentional sabotage confirmed • 25%
Accidental damage • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Confirmed sabotage by Eagle S • 25%
Accidental damage by Eagle S • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Other parties found responsible • 25%
Eagle S cleared of involvement • 25%
Eagle S confirmed as cause • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Terrorist act confirmed • 25%
Accident confirmed • 25%
Sabotage by foreign entity • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No charges • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Gang-related charges • 25%
Criminal organization charges • 25%
Case unresolved by deadline • 25%
Conviction of crew or company • 25%
Charges filed but no conviction • 25%
No charges filed • 25%