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Market
What will be the outcome of the investigation into the assassination attempt on Robert Fico by the end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Suspect(s) arrested and charged • 33%
Suspect(s) identified but not arrested • 33%
Investigation remains unresolved • 34%
Official reports from Slovak law enforcement or government statements
Story
Slovak PM Robert Fico Released from Banska Bystrica Hospital After Being Shot Four Times
May 30, 2024, 07:52 PM
Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico has been released from Banska Bystrica hospital and transferred to his home in Bratislava to continue his recovery after an assassination attempt on May 15th, when he was shot four times. Fico's condition has been improving steadily, with the government and hospital confirming his progress. The head of the Smer parliamentary group, Ján Richter, estimated that Fico could be fully healthy by the end of the year. Despite his release, the recovery process is expected to be long and challenging. The assassination attempt has left Slovakia in a state of shock, with significant political and media repercussions anticipated.
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Full recovery • 33%
Partial recovery • 33%
No recovery • 33%
Increase in government stability • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Decrease in government stability • 33%
Strong public support for Fico • 25%
Neutral public sentiment • 25%
Public dissent against Fico • 25%
Increased polarization • 25%
Major government reshuffle • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Early elections called • 25%
Significant legislation changes • 25%
Resumes duties as PM • 33%
Steps down permanently • 33%
Remains in a non-active role • 34%
Conviction of the attacker • 25%
Attack deemed self-defense • 25%
Attacker remains unidentified • 25%
Case remains unresolved • 25%