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What will be the outcome of the forensic investigation into the Thailand bus fire by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Accidental • 25%
Negligence • 25%
Criminal intent • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Official forensic investigation reports or news reports
Story
Thailand Bus Fire Kills 23 from Wat Khao School; 16 Hospitalized
Oct 1, 2024, 08:55 AM
A bus carrying 44 students and teachers from Wat Khao school in Uthai Thani caught fire near Bangkok after a reported tyre explosion. The incident occurred in Pathum Thani province, in front of Zeer Rangsit shopping centre, during a field trip. At least 16 people have been hospitalized, and 23 bodies have been recovered, including 20 students and 3 teachers. The driver reportedly fled the scene. Forensic investigators are collecting evidence to determine the cause of the fire. Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra expressed her deepest condolences to the families of the injured and deceased.
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Accidental fire • 25%
Negligence • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Tire explosion • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Driver error • 25%
Other • 25%
Driver of the road maintenance truck found at fault • 25%
Minibus driver found at fault • 25%
Both drivers found at fault • 25%
No fault determined • 25%
Less than 20 • 25%
20 to 25 • 25%
26 to 30 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
None • 25%
1 • 25%
2-3 • 25%
More than 3 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Overspeeding confirmed as cause • 25%
Brake failure confirmed as cause • 25%
Both overspeeding and brake failure confirmed • 25%
Other cause identified • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Accident due to mechanical failure • 25%
Accident due to pilot error • 25%
Result of external factors • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Murder-suicide by the 56-year-old woman • 25%
Murder by another individual • 25%
Accidental poisoning • 25%
Other • 25%