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What will be the outcome of the Florida gubernatorial race and its impact on Amendment 3's passage in November 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
DeSantis wins, Amendment 3 passes • 25%
DeSantis wins, Amendment 3 fails • 25%
DeSantis loses, Amendment 3 passes • 25%
DeSantis loses, Amendment 3 fails • 25%
Florida state election results published by the Florida Division of Elections
Story
Trump Backs Florida's Amendment 3 for Marijuana Legalization on November Ballot, Splitting GOP
Sep 9, 2024, 03:23 AM
Former President Donald Trump has declared his support for Florida's Amendment 3, which seeks to legalize recreational marijuana for adults aged 21 and older. Trump announced on Truth Social that he will vote 'YES' on the amendment in the upcoming November ballot. His stance has drawn significant criticism, particularly from conservative circles. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, a prominent Republican figure, has voiced strong opposition to the initiative, citing concerns over the potential negative impacts, including the 'putrid' smell of marijuana. Despite DeSantis' opposition, new polling and an ad campaign featuring a police officer who supports the reform suggest a split within the GOP, potentially boosting the chances of the amendment's passage. Amendment 3 would allow the possession of up to three ounces of marijuana and permit current medical marijuana treatment centers to sell marijuana to adults for personal use.
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Pass with more than 60% votes • 25%
Pass with 50%-60% votes • 25%
Fail with 40%-50% votes • 25%
Fail with less than 40% votes • 25%
Pass with 50-55% votes • 25%
Pass with 55-60% votes • 25%
Pass with more than 60% votes • 25%
Fail • 25%
Passes with more than 60% support • 25%
Passes with 50-60% support • 25%
Fails with less than 50% support • 25%
Fails with more than 50% opposition • 25%
Approved with over 60% support • 25%
Approved with 50-60% support • 25%
Rejected with 40-50% support • 25%
Rejected with less than 40% support • 25%
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Evenly split • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Pass with more than 60% votes • 25%
Pass with 50-60% votes • 25%
Fail with 40-50% votes • 25%
Fail with less than 40% votes • 25%
Significant impact on state elections • 25%
Moderate impact on state elections • 25%
Minimal impact on state elections • 25%
No impact on state elections • 25%
Strongly Support • 25%
Somewhat Support • 25%
Somewhat Oppose • 25%
Strongly Oppose • 25%