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What will be the outcome of the final ruling on California's social media content moderation law by September 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Law is upheld • 25%
Law is overturned • 25%
Law is partially upheld • 25%
No final ruling by the date • 25%
Final ruling by the U.S. Supreme Court or a definitive legal resolution reported by major news outlets
Story
Elon Musk's X Wins Appeal to Block Part of California Content Moderation Law in 9th Circuit
Sep 4, 2024, 05:23 PM
Elon Musk's social media platform X has won an appeal to partially block a California law requiring social media companies to disclose their policies for combating disinformation, harassment, hate speech, and extremism. A three-judge panel of the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals ruled in favor of X, stating that the law is likely unconstitutional and infringes on First Amendment rights. The decision reverses a lower court ruling and grants X a preliminary injunction against the enforcement of the law.
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Law upheld • 25%
Law blocked • 25%
Law revised • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Provision permanently reinstated • 25%
Provision permanently blocked • 25%
Provision modified and reinstated • 25%
No final ruling by this date • 25%
Permanent injunction • 25%
Law upheld • 25%
Law revised • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Platform bans • 25%
No actions taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Law upheld • 25%
Law partially overturned • 25%
Law fully overturned • 25%
No decision • 25%
Compliance with the law • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
No action taken • 25%
In favor of social media companies • 25%
In favor of government regulation • 25%
Mixed ruling • 25%
Other • 25%
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More dismissals • 25%
More trials • 25%
Other • 25%