Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the federal court case involving Carroll ISD and the Biden administration's Title IX rule by the end of 2024?
3
Biden•Title IX•Texas•Department of Education•Carroll Independent School District•Matt Kacsmaryk•University of Texas•Dysart•Carroll ISD•Project PAC•Cameron Bryan
Resolution / Starting Odds
Rule upheld • 25%
Rule overturned • 25%
Rule modified • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
Official court rulings or legal documents from the federal judiciary
Story
House Republicans Overturn Biden's Title IX Transgender Student Protections Amid Texas Legal Battles
Jul 12, 2024, 12:43 PM
House Republicans have voted to overturn a Biden administration rule aimed at bolstering federal nondiscrimination protections for transgender students. This move comes amid a broader legal battle over the administration's proposed changes to Title IX, which seeks to protect LGBTQ+ students. Texas has successfully blocked the Department of Education from enforcing these new rules, with a federal judge granting Carroll Independent School District a preliminary injunction. Judge Matt Kacsmaryk also issued an injunction against the rule, preventing its enforcement in Texas and impacting two anti-abortion professors at the University of Texas. The new Title IX rules have faced significant opposition, with critics arguing that they would force schools to accommodate transgender students in women's sports and facilities. Supporters of the rule argue that it is essential for protecting the civil rights of LGBTQ+ students. Dysart schools are also considering opposing the new Title IX rules. Carroll ISD's school board, with 5/7 members backed by the 1776 Project PAC, celebrated the injunction as a major victory for female students, according to school board president Cameron Bryan.
View original story
Similar markets
Rules Upheld • 33%
Rules Overturned • 33%
Partial Revision • 33%
Preliminary injunction upheld, permanent injunction granted • 25%
Preliminary injunction upheld, permanent injunction denied • 25%
Preliminary injunction overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Protections upheld • 25%
Protections struck down • 25%
Protections modified • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
Uphold the rewrite • 25%
Strike down the rewrite • 25%
Remand to lower court • 25%
No decision by end of 2024 • 25%
Decision upheld • 25%
Decision overturned • 25%
Case remanded for further proceedings • 25%
Appeal withdrawn • 25%
Appeal Upheld • 50%
Appeal Denied • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Protections Increased • 33%
Protections Decreased • 33%
No Change • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Expanded protections • 25%
Reduced protections • 25%
No change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%