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What will be the outcome of the expected protest by Afghan nationals at the Pakistani Embassy in Berlin by August 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Peaceful protest • 25%
Minor incidents (e.g., verbal altercations) • 25%
Vandalism or property damage • 25%
Arrests made • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies, statements from German law enforcement or Pakistani Embassy
Story
Afghan Nationals Vandalize Pakistani Consulate in Frankfurt, Remove Flag; Several Arrested
Jul 21, 2024, 06:53 AM
Afghan nationals have vandalized the Pakistani consulate in Frankfurt, Germany, removing the Pakistani flag and replacing it with Afghanistan’s national flag. The incident has led to several arrests by German law enforcement agencies, who are actively investigating the matter. In response, Pakistan has strongly condemned the attack and criticized Germany for failing to protect its consulate, citing the Vienna Convention on Consular Relations. Afghan nationals also threw stones during the protest. The Pakistani government has called for stronger security measures and legal consequences for the perpetrators. Meanwhile, security has been significantly increased at the Pakistani Embassy in Berlin, where another protest by Afghan nationals is expected.
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Protests subside without breach • 25%
Embassy breached but no casualties • 25%
Embassy breached with casualties • 25%
Protests escalate further • 25%
Diplomatic relations improve • 25%
Diplomatic relations worsen • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Protests Increase • 25%
Protests Decrease • 25%
Protests Remain Steady • 25%
No Significant Protests • 25%
Formal apology to Pakistan • 25%
Recall the Consul General • 25%
Issue a counter-protest • 25%
Other • 25%
Protests die down • 25%
Protests continue with no major impact • 25%
Protests lead to partial reversal of laws • 25%
Protests lead to significant international action • 25%
Government proceeds with military operation • 25%
Government cancels military operation • 25%
Government negotiates with protesters • 25%
Other • 25%
Strong Condemnation • 25%
Diplomatic Protest • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Protests proceed without incident • 25%
Protests proceed with minor incidents • 25%
Protests proceed with major incidents • 25%
Protests do not proceed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Formal condemnation • 25%
Legal action • 25%
Public campaign • 25%
No significant action • 25%