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What will be the outcome of the discussion between US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and UK Foreign Secretary David Lammy on Ukraine's request by November 30, 2024?
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Ukrainian•Andrii Yermak•Western•Iranian•Russia•Iran•US•Antony Blinken•UK•David Lammy•Kyiv•Joe Biden•Ukraine•Biden•State Department•the Pentagon•House Foreign Affairs•Michael McCaul•YouGov•British
Resolution / Starting Odds
Both support the request • 25%
Both oppose the request • 25%
Only the US supports the request • 25%
Only the UK supports the request • 25%
Official announcements from the US or UK governments or credible news sources such as Reuters, BBC, or CNN
Story
Biden Considers Lifting Ban as Ukraine Seeks Long-Range Strikes on Iranian Missiles in Russia
Sep 11, 2024, 12:59 AM
Senior Ukrainian officials, including Presidential Chief of Staff Andrii Yermak, have called for permission to use Western long-range weapons to destroy Iranian missile storage facilities in Russia. This request follows reports that Iran has supplied ballistic missiles to Russia. Ukrainian officials argue that sanctions on Iran are insufficient and that direct military action is necessary to prevent further terror. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and UK Foreign Secretary David Lammy are expected to discuss this policy change during their visit to Kyiv. President Joe Biden has indicated that the US is considering lifting the ban on Ukraine's use of long-range weapons, though there is internal debate within the Biden administration. The State Department is more supportive of Ukraine's request, while the Pentagon and intelligence community have expressed caution. House Foreign Affairs Chairman Michael McCaul has stated that Ukraine will receive permission for long-range ATACMS strikes against Russia. According to a YouGov poll, 58% of the British public support allowing Ukraine to strike.
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Agreement to lift restrictions • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Further discussions planned • 25%
No public statement • 25%
Approval for use of ATACMS • 25%
Approval for use of other Western weapons • 25%
No approval granted • 25%
Talks remain inconclusive • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New defense agreements • 25%
Increased U.S. military presence • 25%
Joint military exercises • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Push for more military support • 25%
Initiate peace talks • 25%
Increase sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant move • 25%
Full security guarantees provided • 25%
Partial security guarantees provided • 25%
No security guarantees provided • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Resolution condemning Russia • 25%
No resolution passed • 25%
Resolution supporting Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Trump agrees to continue support • 25%
Trump agrees to limited support • 25%
Trump disagrees with continued support • 25%
No public decision made • 25%
Increased aid from the US • 25%
Increased aid from the EU • 25%
Increased aid from NATO • 25%
No significant increase • 25%
Formal alliance formed • 25%
Informal cooperation agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Discussions ongoing • 25%
Keir Starmer • 25%
UK Defense Minister • 25%
Foreign Secretary • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Talks Not Held • 25%