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What will be the outcome of the 'dirty bomb' accusations by end of 2024?
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Russian•Ukraine•Kursk•Moscow•Russian Ministry of Defense•Russian Foreign Ministry•United Nations•International Atomic Energy Agency•Russian nuclear•Russia
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine uses a 'dirty bomb' • 25%
Russia retaliates without 'dirty bomb' usage • 25%
No significant military action • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
official statements from Russian Ministry of Defense, United Nations, International Atomic Energy Agency, and credible international news reports
Story
Russia Accuses Ukraine of 'Dirty Bomb' Plot Amid Kursk Tensions
Aug 17, 2024, 11:05 AM
Tensions are escalating as Russian authorities and media outlets propagate claims that Ukraine is preparing to use a 'dirty bomb' in Kursk, a move perceived by some as a potential false flag operation by Moscow. The Russian Ministry of Defense has warned of immediate retaliation if Ukraine attempts to create a radioactive catastrophe. The Russian Foreign Ministry has urged the United Nations and the International Atomic Energy Agency to condemn what it describes as provocative actions by Ukraine against Russian nuclear facilities. These developments come amid Russia's recent military setbacks in Kursk, raising concerns about the possibility of a nuclear false flag terror attack.
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Ukraine confirmed to have developed a 'dirty bomb' • 25%
Allegations found to be false • 25%
Inconclusive evidence • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Condemnation of Russia • 25%
Calls for further investigation • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Russia provides evidence • 25%
Ukraine refutes without evidence • 25%
Third-party investigation supports Russia • 25%
Third-party investigation supports Ukraine • 25%
Russia's claims verified • 25%
Ukraine's innocence confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No investigation conducted • 25%
GRU confirmed as responsible • 25%
Another Russian entity • 25%
Non-Russian actors • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Relations worsen significantly • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations remain unchanged • 25%
Other significant change • 25%
Formal complaint filed to UN • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Ukrainian connection confirmed • 25%
Domestic actors confirmed • 25%
Other foreign actors confirmed • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Biden exonerated • 25%
Biden implicated • 25%
No conclusive outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Arrests made • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Perpetrator apprehended • 25%
Perpetrator not apprehended • 25%
Threat deemed a hoax • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%