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What will be the outcome of the custody of the Argentine embassy in Caracas by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Brazil continues custody • 25%
Argentina resumes custody • 25%
Another country takes custody • 25%
Embassy is closed • 25%
Official statements from the Brazilian or Argentine government or credible news sources
Story
Milei Thanks Brazil for Taking Custody of Argentine Embassy Sheltering Opposition Aides
Aug 1, 2024, 02:03 PM
Brazil has taken custody of the Argentine embassy in Caracas, Venezuela, following the departure of Argentina’s diplomatic staff. This move comes after Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro ended diplomatic relations with Argentina. The embassy is currently sheltering aides to Venezuela’s opposition leader, Maria Corina Machado, who have been there since March. Argentine presidential candidate Javier Milei says he is grateful to Brazil for stepping in to protect the embassy and those seeking refuge there.
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Safe passage granted • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Activists detained • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Siege lifted • 25%
Embassy evacuated • 25%
Embassy remains under siege • 25%
Embassy taken over by Venezuelan forces • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Violent resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Seek mediation from a third country • 25%
Impose economic sanctions on Argentina • 25%
Expel more diplomats from other countries • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Granted asylum and leave Venezuela • 25%
Arrested by Venezuelan authorities • 25%
Remain at the embassy without resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
OEA intervention • 25%
No intervention • 25%
Other intervention • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%