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What will be the outcome of the ceasefire negotiations in Cairo by July 15?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire successfully implemented • 33%
Ceasefire terms renegotiated • 33%
Ceasefire fails to be implemented • 34%
Official statements from Egypt, Hamas, or major global news outlets
Story
Hamas Accepts Egypt-Qatar Ceasefire; Israel's Response Pending
May 6, 2024, 05:07 PM
Hamas has officially accepted a ceasefire proposal mediated by Egypt and Qatar, following intense negotiations. The agreement comes after Israel ordered the evacuation of Rafah, a town in southern Gaza, in anticipation of a military operation. Ismail Haniyeh, the head of Hamas's political bureau, communicated the group's acceptance in phone calls with Qatar's Prime Minister Mohammad bin Abdulrahman Al Thani and Egypt's intelligence chief Abbas Kamel. A delegation from Hamas is expected to arrive in Cairo soon to finalize the details of the ceasefire agreement. The timing of Hamas's announcement, as Israel begins evacuating civilians from Rafah, is seen as a strategic move to pressure Israel, which has yet to respond.
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Ceasefire successfully implemented • 33%
Ceasefire called but not implemented • 33%
No ceasefire achieved • 34%
Complete ceasefire observed • 33%
Partial ceasefire observed • 33%
No ceasefire observed • 34%
Ceasefire extended • 33%
Ceasefire ended • 33%
Ceasefire on hold • 33%
Accepted as is • 33%
Accepted with modifications • 33%
Rejected • 33%
Successful truce • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Negotiations fail • 25%
Increase in hostilities • 25%
Negotiations successful • 33%
Negotiations fail • 33%
No negotiations • 34%
Accepted by Hamas • 33%
Rejected by Hamas • 33%
Deadline extended • 34%
