Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the Bangladesh nationwide curfew by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Curfew lifted by August 31, 2024 • 25%
Curfew lifted by December 31, 2024 • 25%
Curfew extended into 2025 • 25%
Curfew lifted but reinstated • 25%
Official announcements from the Bangladesh government, verified news sources
Story
Bangladesh Imposes Nationwide Curfew, Deploys Military Amid Deadly Protests, 105 Dead
Jul 19, 2024, 10:08 PM
Bangladesh has announced a nationwide curfew and deployed military forces in response to escalating deadly protests over government job quotas. The unrest has resulted in a death toll of over 105, with more than half of the fatalities caused by police fire. The government's actions aim to quell the unrest and restore order across the country.
View original story
Similar markets
Protests quell without further violence • 25%
Protests continue with moderate violence • 25%
Protests escalate into civil war • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Protests quelled and order restored • 25%
Protests ongoing with high security measures • 25%
Government concessions made to protesters • 25%
Government changes or resignations • 25%
Government repeals job quota system • 25%
Government suppresses protests without changes • 25%
Compromise reached with protest leaders • 25%
Protests continue into 2025 • 25%
Government crackdown • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Regime change • 25%
Protests continue • 25%
Government revokes quota • 25%
Government reduces quota • 25%
Government maintains quota • 25%
Government Concedes to Protesters' Demands • 25%
Government Implements Stricter Measures • 25%
Protests Subside Without Major Changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Government Concedes to Demands • 25%
Government Remains Unchanged • 25%
Protests Subside Without Major Change • 25%
Military Intervention • 25%
Government concedes to protesters' demands • 25%
Government partially concedes to demands • 25%
Government does not concede to demands • 25%
Government imposes stricter measures • 25%