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What will be the outcome of the Aerolíneas Argentinas privatization plan by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Fully Privatized • 25%
Partially Privatized • 25%
Not Privatized • 25%
Privatization Delayed • 25%
Official announcement from the Argentinian government or Aerolíneas Argentinas
Story
Argentinian President Milei Announces $8 Billion Plan to Privatize Aerolíneas Argentinas
Sep 27, 2024, 06:08 PM
Argentinian President Javier Milei has announced plans to privatize the state-owned airline, Aerolíneas Argentinas, through an executive decree. The move comes amid Milei's broader agenda to implement radical economic reforms, including the Ley Bases, aimed at reducing government expenditure and stimulating foreign investment. Since Milei's victory, Argentina has seen an $8 billion surge in foreign currency deposits. The proposed privatization has sparked a standoff with unions and is part of Milei's efforts to address the country's economic challenges, including high inflation and poverty rates, with half of Argentines living in poverty. Additionally, the government has introduced measures to regularize informal employees without fines or taxes.
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Remains state-owned • 25%
Privatized • 25%
Provincial ownership • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Profit • 25%
Break-even • 25%
Loss • 25%
Significant restructuring • 25%
Provincial governments • 25%
Unions • 25%
Public protests • 25%
Political opposition • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
0 • 25%
1 • 25%
2 • 25%
3 or more • 25%
Improved security • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated security • 25%
Unclear outcome • 25%
Successfully exits bankruptcy and resumes normal operations • 25%
Merges with another airline • 25%
Liquidates assets and ceases operations • 25%
Remains in bankruptcy • 25%
Merges with another airline • 25%
Secures new investment • 25%
Files for bankruptcy • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
