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What will be the outcome of South Korea's monitoring efforts in Ukraine by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful intelligence gathering • 25%
Limited intelligence gathering • 25%
No significant intelligence gathered • 25%
Mission aborted • 25%
Reports from South Korean government or international media
Story
South Korea May Send Personnel to Ukraine to Monitor North Korean Troops, Yonhap Reports
Oct 22, 2024, 10:10 AM
South Korea is considering sending military and intelligence personnel to Ukraine to monitor North Korean troops supporting Russia in the ongoing conflict. This move, reported by South Korean news agency Yonhap, comes in response to North Korea's deployment of troops to aid Russia's war effort. The decision is still under consideration, according to a government source.
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Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Military confrontation • 25%
Strengthened alliances • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Joint military actions • 25%
Increased diplomatic pressure • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Send artillery shells • 25%
Send other military equipment • 25%
No weapons sent • 25%
Other type of support • 25%
Joint military aid package • 25%
Increased economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic measures against North Korea • 25%
Joint condemnation statements • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
North Korea withdraws troops • 25%
North Korea increases troop presence • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supplies lethal weapons • 33%
Supplies non-lethal aid only • 33%
No supplies at all • 33%
Provide direct military support • 25%
Increase humanitarian aid only • 25%
No change in support • 25%
Other • 25%
North Korea withdraws troops • 25%
North Korean troops remain in Russia • 25%
North Korean troops engage in combat • 25%
North Korea increases troop numbers • 25%