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What will be the outcome of SEC's approach to crypto regulation by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Major rollback • 25%
Minor adjustments • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased regulation • 25%
Official SEC policy changes and regulatory guidelines
Story
Trump's Election Promises Major SEC Crypto Regulation Rollback, Ending 'War on Crypto' Under Gensler
Nov 9, 2024, 01:44 AM
Following Donald Trump's recent electoral victory, significant changes in cryptocurrency regulation are anticipated. Trump's administration is expected to prioritize a rollback of the current enforcement measures by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), particularly those implemented under Chair Gary Gensler. This shift aims to foster a more favorable regulatory environment for the crypto industry. SEC Commissioner has expressed support for Trump's vision to end what he termed the 'War on Crypto.' The potential appointment of pro-crypto figures to key positions within the SEC is also being discussed, suggesting a transformative period for cryptocurrency regulation in the United States.
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Stricter Regulations • 25%
Looser Regulations • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Undefined • 25%
Rescind SAB 121 • 25%
Amend SAB 121 • 25%
Maintain SAB 121 • 25%
Introduce new regulations • 25%
More lenient • 25%
More stringent • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Unclear stance • 25%
Significantly eased • 25%
Moderately eased • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased regulation • 25%
Fines or settlements • 25%
No action • 25%
Criminal charges • 25%
Other regulatory actions • 25%
More favorable • 25%
Less favorable • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Unclear stance • 25%
Pro-crypto • 25%
Anti-crypto • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Unclear • 25%
No change • 25%
More stringent regulations • 25%
Less stringent regulations • 25%
New comprehensive framework • 25%
Policies Upheld • 25%
Policies Overturned • 25%
Policies Modified • 25%
No Legal Challenges • 25%
More lenient • 25%
More stringent • 25%
No change • 25%
Unclear outcome • 25%
More explicit guidelines • 25%
Increased enforcement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Relaxation of rules • 25%