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What will be the outcome of RFK Jr.'s appeal against the New York ballot ruling by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Reinstated • 25%
Denied • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Other • 25%
Official court rulings
Story
RFK Jr. Removed from NY Ballot Over Residency Claim
Aug 12, 2024, 11:50 PM
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has been ruled off the New York presidential ballot after a judge determined he falsely claimed a New York residence on his nominating petitions. The court found that Kennedy's presence at the purported address was 'virtually nonexistent,' leading to the invalidation of his documents required for ballot access. This decision could prompt similar challenges in other states. Despite this setback, Kennedy will remain on the North Carolina presidential ballot, as ruled by another judge.
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Similar markets
Appeal successful • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful • 25%
Appeal withdrawn • 25%
Other • 25%
Approved • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
No new appeal • 25%
Reinstated in Michigan • 25%
Reinstated in North Carolina • 25%
Reinstated in both states • 25%
Not reinstated in either state • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Name removed • 33%
Name remains • 33%
Further legal action pending • 34%
Remains on the ballot in all states • 25%
Removed from the ballot in all states • 25%
Remains on the ballot in some states • 25%
Removed from the ballot in some states • 25%
RFK Jr. remains on the ballot • 25%
RFK Jr. is removed from the ballot • 25%
Court ruling is overturned • 25%
Other • 25%
Name removed • 33%
Name remains • 33%
Further legal action pending • 34%
Name removed • 33%
Name remains • 33%
Further legal action pending • 34%
Significant Boost • 33%
No Significant Impact • 33%
Significant Decline • 34%
Confirmed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Delayed beyond March 31, 2025 • 25%