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What will be the outcome of Putin-Trump peace talks by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful agreement reached • 25%
Talks occur but no agreement • 25%
Talks fail to commence • 25%
Talks cancelled • 25%
Official announcements from involved parties or major international news outlets
Story
Putin Agrees to Peace Talks with Trump, Ending Forever Wars and Signaling Shift from Neoconservative Policies
Nov 20, 2024, 10:45 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has expressed a willingness to engage in peace talks, specifically indicating he would only do so with former President Donald Trump. This development follows Trump's previous assertions that he could end the ongoing conflict before taking office. Supporters of Trump have noted this as a significant achievement, suggesting it marks a shift away from long-standing military engagements often associated with neoconservative policies. The broader context includes ongoing tensions between the U.S. intelligence community and those who support Trump's approach to foreign policy, particularly regarding relations with Russia.
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No meeting takes place • 25%
Meeting with no significant agreements • 25%
Meeting with significant agreements • 25%
Meeting results in conflict escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Talks held but no agreement • 25%
Talks canceled • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Full withdrawal • 25%
Full peace agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement, no territorial changes • 25%
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Other outcome • 25%
No meeting • 25%
Meeting with no significant agreements • 25%
Meeting results in significant diplomatic agreements • 25%
Meeting results in economic or military agreements • 25%
Peace deal reached • 25%
Negotiations stalled • 25%
Negotiations abandoned • 25%
No official outcome • 25%
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Partial agreement • 25%
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Other • 25%
New treaty signed • 25%
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No significant progress • 25%
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Normalization achieved • 25%
New agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
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Partial agreement on certain issues • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations postponed indefinitely • 25%
Successful dialogue • 25%
Failed dialogue • 25%
No dialogue attempted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement on some issues • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%