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What will be the outcome of Nvidia-U.S. government negotiations on 'AI Diffusion' by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Nvidia concedes • 25%
U.S. government concedes • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Official announcements from Nvidia or the U.S. government
Story
Nvidia Criticizes Biden's 'AI Diffusion' Export Restrictions, Praises Trump's Approach
Jan 14, 2025, 02:13 PM
In its last days in office, the Biden administration has introduced new export restrictions on advanced AI chips, known as the 'AI Diffusion' rule, aiming to limit access by certain countries, including China. Nvidia, a leading AI chip manufacturer, criticized the new regulations as 'misguided,' warning that they could 'threaten to derail innovation and economic growth worldwide' and 'undermine America's leadership' in artificial intelligence. Nvidia's vice president of government affairs, Ned Finkle, expressed concern over the impact of the rule on the U.S. technology sector and praised the Trump administration's hands-off approach to the tech industry.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Fines imposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Deal reversal • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Tensions escalate • 25%
Tensions de-escalate • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Acquisition reversal • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Nvidia required to divest assets • 25%
Nvidia fined • 25%
Other regulatory actions • 25%
No action taken • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Operational changes required • 25%
Financial penalties imposed • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Stricter export controls • 25%
Relaxed export controls • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Fine imposed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Opposed to policies • 25%
Other stance • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Supportive of policies • 25%