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What will be the outcome of legal challenges to California's zero-emission regulations by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No legal challenges • 25%
Minor legal challenges • 25%
Major legal challenges • 25%
Regulations overturned • 25%
Court rulings and legal documents
Story
Biden EPA Approves California Gas Car Ban Starting 2026; Trump Vows Reversal
Dec 18, 2024, 03:22 PM
The Biden administration's Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has granted California two waivers under the Clean Air Act, allowing the state to implement regulations requiring the sale of zero-emission vehicles starting with model year 2026 and culminating in a ban on new gasoline-powered car sales by 2035. This approval permits California to enforce stricter emissions standards than federal regulations in an effort to reduce carbon emissions. Seventeen other states follow California's lead on emissions policies. The move may face opposition from President-elect Donald Trump, who has indicated plans to reverse the decision upon taking office.
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Similar markets
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban overturned • 33%
Compromise reached • 34%
Upheld • 33%
Partially Overturned • 33%
Fully Overturned • 34%
Rules upheld • 25%
Rules partially overturned • 25%
Rules fully overturned • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban overturned • 33%
Partial modifications • 34%
Decision upheld • 25%
Decision overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
No legal action taken • 25%
Uphold California's standards • 25%
Strike down California's standards • 25%
Remand to lower court • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Policy implemented as proposed • 25%
Policy modified to include Tesla • 25%
Policy not implemented • 25%
Legal or legislative challenge alters policy • 25%