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What will be the outcome of Japan's negotiations with the U.S. regarding troop pact in 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased U.S. Troop Presence • 25%
Reduced U.S. Troop Presence • 25%
No Change • 25%
New Strategic Terms • 25%
Official announcements from the Japanese or U.S. governments or credible news sources
Story
Japan PM Ishiba Pledges Military Buildup, Stronger US Alliance Amid Rising Tensions
Nov 10, 2024, 01:27 PM
Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba has pledged to build up Japan's military and deepen its alliance with the United States amid rising regional tensions. Ishiba made this vow on Saturday during a military parade at Japan Ground Self-Defense Force Camp Asaka in Tokyo, where he stated that Japan is facing 'its most severe and complex security environment since the postwar period.' The increased military activity of China and Russia has been cited as a significant factor in this decision. However, a recent win by Trump may dampen Ishiba's ambitions for changes to the US troop pact.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful negotiations with troop withdrawal • 25%
Stalemate with no changes • 25%
Increased tensions with further escalation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Formal apology from Japan • 25%
Formal protest from China • 25%
Both apology and protest • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Agreement on new safety measures • 25%
Mutual expression of regret without new measures • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Successfully established • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Cancelled • 25%
Partially established • 25%
Increased safety measures implemented • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Diplomatic tensions escalate • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
